The SA Weather Service has issued several weather warnings.
Image: Picture: Leon Lestrade / Independent Newspapers
As some South Africans grapple with heavy rains and severe winds, others bask in the sun a little longer. The country is bracing itself for another winter season.
For many, the lingering chill in the air has sparked questions: Are we experiencing an early winter? What does the forecast hold for the coming months? Despite the cold snap, the South African Weather Service (SAWS) has stated that such conditions are not uncommon.
"Cold fronts are common during South Africa’s winter months. While the meteorological winter officially begins on 1 June, the early onset of winter-like conditions in May is not unusual. This current cold spell is consistent with typical seasonal patterns," SAWS told IOL.
"Cold fronts are present over the oceans surrounding South Africa throughout the year. During the warmer seasons, they mostly pass south of the country. However, when they do reach and affect the mainland, it typically signals a seasonal transition from the warmer months (summer and autumn) to the colder ones."
What about the El Niño and La Niña?
A recurring question for meteorologists is the influence of global climate drivers like El Niño and La Niña on winter forecasts.
Currently, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to a neutral state and is expected to maintain this stability for the foreseeable future. However, SAWS noted that ENSO has limited influence on South Africa during the winter seasons and is not expected to have a significant impact.
As for the overall winter forecast for 2025, indications suggest that residents should prepare for a drier and warmer season. Climate projections point to below-normal rainfall across much of the country, alongside predominantly above-normal temperatures in various regions.
What measures should South Africans take?
In light of these forecasts, local communities—both coastal and inland—are advised to take specific precautions. The use of open fires for warmth poses a critical risk, particularly in informal settlements, where windy and dry conditions might lead to runaway fires. Residents are encouraged to seek safer, enclosed heating methods to protect themselves and their communities from potential hazards during this cold period.
IOL