Unlike the protracted battles in Donbass, which focus on attrition and gradual advances, the Sudzha operation prioritised speed, surprise, and the systematic destruction of Ukrainian supply networks. This approach culminated in the now-famous ‘pipeline operation’ on March 8, in which an 800-man Russian regiment severely disrupted the AFU’s logistical chain. By the end of the day, Russian forces had gained control over key industrial areas north and east of Sudzha.

Ukrainian forces attempted to retreat toward Sudzha in hopes of stabilising defensive lines and extending the battle into a drawn-out engagement. However, by March 10, their collapse was evident. Units began chaotically retreating, with some fleeing toward the border and abandoning their equipment. By March 12, Russian forces had taken control of the industrial zone, suburbs, and Sudzha’s administrative centre. While this map still shows areas under AFU control, in reality, they have already become a grey zone – likely to fall within days or even hours.

What comes next?

The pressing question now is whether the Russian Army will continue advancing beyond Sudzha into deeper Ukrainian territory. Since the conflict in Kursk began last August, the concept of borders has become increasingly irrelevant – military necessity dictates movements, not outdated territorial lines. Russian troops have already crossed the border multiple times during operations around Sudzha, and there is little to suggest they would hesitate to do so again if required.

The trajectory of Russian operations hinges on the outcome of ongoing diplomatic negotiations. If Presidents Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump reach a lasting peace agreement, it is likely that Russian forces will halt their advance at Sudzha, as Moscow has no territorial ambitions beyond Kursk Region. However, should hostilities escalate into a broader phase, the Russian military may shift its focus toward the outright defeat of the Ukrainian army and the dismantling of the current Kiev regime.

The coming weeks will be decisive. Either Ukraine capitulates under American pressure, or the conflict escalates into its next, and possibly final, phase.

RT

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The battle for Kursk: How Russian soldiers crushed Ukrainian defenses in Sudzha